The influence of variations in solar activity on the health of population of the Northern region
English
journal number:
Journal’s Subject Headings:
History of science
About author:
E. R. Ragozina Khanty-Mansiysk State Medical Academy, Khanty-Mansiysk, Russian Federation, [email protected]
V. I. Korchin Khanty-Mansiysk State Medical Academy, Khanty-Mansiysk, Russian Federation, [email protected]
O. N. Ragozin Khanty-Mansiysk State Medical Academy, Khanty-Mansiysk, Russian Federation, [email protected]
ABSTRACT
Introduction: how much does the solar activity of the circumpolar regions influences the occurrence and exacerbation of diseases of population of the Northern region? What is the sensitivity and specificity of the pathology to heliophysical factors? Does the reaction to the exogenous factor occur in situ, ahead of it or is it delayed? All these questions have determined the relevance of the research.
Objective: to study the features of the rhythmic structure of the occurrence of acute and exacerbation of chronic pathology of population of the town of Khanty-Mansiysk in conjunction with variations in solar activity characteristic for the Northern region.
Research materials: calls to the ambulance service of Khanty-Mansiysk were copied from the database of calls for the period from 01.01.2001 to 12.31.2014, on average per day by classes in accordance with the International Classification of Diseases. Data on the relative daily number of sunspots (Wolf number, W) are obtained from the materials of the Royal Observatory of Belgium (Brussels). To track the short-period component of the rhythms, the period from 2001 to 2014 was analyzed. For the analysis of the long-period component, the period from 1818 to 2017 was analyzed. The research used the author’s computer program using wavelet analysis, which reveals the presence or absence of many cyclicities of the studied parameters.
Results and novelty of the research. The study revealed mega-and mezorhythms of solar activity and the state of health of the population of Khanty-Mansiysk. Scientific novelty is the detected amplitude and phase desynchronization of the detected rhythmic oscillations. The analysis of extended time series allows distinguishing long-term rhythms of health disorders, which is applicable for retrospective assessment and short-term prognostication.
Key words: solar activity, public health, Northern region.
For citation: Ragozinа E. R., Korchin V. I., Ragozin O. N. The influence of variations in solar activity on the health of population of the Northern region // Vestnik ugrovedenia = Bulletin of Ugric studies. 2019; 9 (3): 588–595.
V. I. Korchin Khanty-Mansiysk State Medical Academy, Khanty-Mansiysk, Russian Federation, [email protected]
O. N. Ragozin Khanty-Mansiysk State Medical Academy, Khanty-Mansiysk, Russian Federation, [email protected]
ABSTRACT
Introduction: how much does the solar activity of the circumpolar regions influences the occurrence and exacerbation of diseases of population of the Northern region? What is the sensitivity and specificity of the pathology to heliophysical factors? Does the reaction to the exogenous factor occur in situ, ahead of it or is it delayed? All these questions have determined the relevance of the research.
Objective: to study the features of the rhythmic structure of the occurrence of acute and exacerbation of chronic pathology of population of the town of Khanty-Mansiysk in conjunction with variations in solar activity characteristic for the Northern region.
Research materials: calls to the ambulance service of Khanty-Mansiysk were copied from the database of calls for the period from 01.01.2001 to 12.31.2014, on average per day by classes in accordance with the International Classification of Diseases. Data on the relative daily number of sunspots (Wolf number, W) are obtained from the materials of the Royal Observatory of Belgium (Brussels). To track the short-period component of the rhythms, the period from 2001 to 2014 was analyzed. For the analysis of the long-period component, the period from 1818 to 2017 was analyzed. The research used the author’s computer program using wavelet analysis, which reveals the presence or absence of many cyclicities of the studied parameters.
Results and novelty of the research. The study revealed mega-and mezorhythms of solar activity and the state of health of the population of Khanty-Mansiysk. Scientific novelty is the detected amplitude and phase desynchronization of the detected rhythmic oscillations. The analysis of extended time series allows distinguishing long-term rhythms of health disorders, which is applicable for retrospective assessment and short-term prognostication.
Key words: solar activity, public health, Northern region.
For citation: Ragozinа E. R., Korchin V. I., Ragozin O. N. The influence of variations in solar activity on the health of population of the Northern region // Vestnik ugrovedenia = Bulletin of Ugric studies. 2019; 9 (3): 588–595.