Long-term demographic rhythms of indigenous and alien population of Khanty-Mansiysk Autonomous Okrug – Yugra
English
journal number:
Journal’s Subject Headings:
Expeditions, the materials of researches
About author:
R. O. Ragozin Tyumen State University, Tyumen, Russian Federation, [email protected]
I. I. Chursina Khanty-Mansiysk State Medical Academy, Khanty-Mansiysk, Russian Federation, [email protected]
O. N. Ragozin Khanty-Mansiysk State Medical Academy, Khanty-Mansiysk, Russian Federation, [email protected]
E. Yu. Shalamova Khanty-Mansiysk State Medical Academy, Khanty-Mansiysk, Russian Federation, [email protected]
ABSTRACT
Introduction: the priority tasks of the state policy of the Russian Federation are the preservation and strengthening of public health, improving the demographic situation, increasing the birth rate and reducing mortality.
Objective: to give an analysis of temporal variations in the demographic indicators of indigenous and alien population of Khanty-Mansiysk Autonomous Okrug – Yugra.
Research materials: temporary variations in the birth rate, mortality, infant mortality and natural growth of the indigenous population of Khanty-Mansiysk Autonomous Okrug – Yugra from 2000 to 2018 were studied in comparison with the dynamics of the same demographic indicators of alien population in fifteen municipalities from 1990 to 2018.
Results and novelty of the research: the rhythmic component is present in the dynamics of all the studied demographic indicators. Among the representatives of indigenous population of the Okrug, birth rate fluctuations with a period of 7 years occur with small amplitude. Alien population has the most stable 11-year birth rate, which is observed in all municipalities. Temporal variations in the mortality rate for all categories of the population are polycyclic: significant rhythms with a period of 4 to 14 years are detected. Against the background of the presence of ubiquitous long-term rhythm, cyclical changes in the infant mortality rate are significant only for alien population in Surgutsky and Khanty-Mansiysky Districts, and only one rhythm is observed – with a period of 14 years. The observed rhythms of the rate of natural growth with a period of 6 to 11 years are present in both indigenous and alien population. Scientific novelty lies in the use of wavelet analysis to highlight constant demographic rhythms and random rhythmic activity, to monitor the influence of helioclimatic factors, and the effectiveness of socio-economic programs aimed at maintaining and strengthening the health of the population of the Northern region.
Key words: demographics, indigenous and foreign population, rhythms, Northern region.
For citation: Ragozin R. O., Chursina I. I., Ragozin O. N., Shalamova E. Yu. Long-term demographic rhythms of indigenous and alien population of Khanty-Mansiysk Autonomous Okrug – Yugra // Vestnic ugrovedenia = Bulletin of Ugric studies. 2020; 10 (2): 390–397.
I. I. Chursina Khanty-Mansiysk State Medical Academy, Khanty-Mansiysk, Russian Federation, [email protected]
O. N. Ragozin Khanty-Mansiysk State Medical Academy, Khanty-Mansiysk, Russian Federation, [email protected]
E. Yu. Shalamova Khanty-Mansiysk State Medical Academy, Khanty-Mansiysk, Russian Federation, [email protected]
ABSTRACT
Introduction: the priority tasks of the state policy of the Russian Federation are the preservation and strengthening of public health, improving the demographic situation, increasing the birth rate and reducing mortality.
Objective: to give an analysis of temporal variations in the demographic indicators of indigenous and alien population of Khanty-Mansiysk Autonomous Okrug – Yugra.
Research materials: temporary variations in the birth rate, mortality, infant mortality and natural growth of the indigenous population of Khanty-Mansiysk Autonomous Okrug – Yugra from 2000 to 2018 were studied in comparison with the dynamics of the same demographic indicators of alien population in fifteen municipalities from 1990 to 2018.
Results and novelty of the research: the rhythmic component is present in the dynamics of all the studied demographic indicators. Among the representatives of indigenous population of the Okrug, birth rate fluctuations with a period of 7 years occur with small amplitude. Alien population has the most stable 11-year birth rate, which is observed in all municipalities. Temporal variations in the mortality rate for all categories of the population are polycyclic: significant rhythms with a period of 4 to 14 years are detected. Against the background of the presence of ubiquitous long-term rhythm, cyclical changes in the infant mortality rate are significant only for alien population in Surgutsky and Khanty-Mansiysky Districts, and only one rhythm is observed – with a period of 14 years. The observed rhythms of the rate of natural growth with a period of 6 to 11 years are present in both indigenous and alien population. Scientific novelty lies in the use of wavelet analysis to highlight constant demographic rhythms and random rhythmic activity, to monitor the influence of helioclimatic factors, and the effectiveness of socio-economic programs aimed at maintaining and strengthening the health of the population of the Northern region.
Key words: demographics, indigenous and foreign population, rhythms, Northern region.
For citation: Ragozin R. O., Chursina I. I., Ragozin O. N., Shalamova E. Yu. Long-term demographic rhythms of indigenous and alien population of Khanty-Mansiysk Autonomous Okrug – Yugra // Vestnic ugrovedenia = Bulletin of Ugric studies. 2020; 10 (2): 390–397.
